AGI

Geoeconomics

The AGI Geoeconomics Program promotes original thinking and debate on U.S., German, and EU global economic strategy with a focus on ways that trade, climate, financial, and technology policies can advance their shared interests, prosperity, and values.
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Germany’s Hidden Weaknesses

Dr. Norbert Walter is the former Chief Economist of Deutsche Bank. Dr. Walter is currently head of Walter & Töchter Consult. In this essay, which originally appeared in the New …

Triple U (UUU) – The Way the Global Economy Goes!

Dr. Norbert Walter offers an assessment of the global economy’s path in light of the eurozone crisis and upcoming election in the United States.

European Visions in Davos

Alexander Privitera examines Chancellor Merkel’s speech at the World Economic Forum, in which she strongly defended the euro and laid out a plan for further European integration. According to Mr. Privitera, her words will not be enough to solve the euro crisis in the near future. However, the speech should help assure financial markets of Germany’s continued commitment to the euro and the project of European integration.

Konvergenzen und Divergenzen im “Währungsraum USA” im Vergleich zur Eurozone

Von Wirtschaftdiesnt 01/2012, ZBW – Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Dr. Berend Diekmann ist Referatsleiter “Außenwirtschaftspolitik, Nordamerika, G8/G20, OECD” beim Bundesministerium für Wirtschaft und Technologie in Berlin. Christoph Menzel, Dipl.Volkswirt, und Tobias Thomae, …

Germany’s Historical Euro Responsibility

In this Op-Ed, which originally appeared in Süddeutsche Zeitung on January 12, 2012, J.D. Bindenagel takes a brief look back at the history of Europe leading up to the push for a European Monetary Union. According to Mr. Bindenagel, the future success of the Euro rests on the will of Europe’s leaders, and Germany in particular, to make their monetary union work.

The Firewall

In a recent speech, International Monetary Fund Managing Director Christine Lagarde once again reminded Germany of the consequences of not acting on the current crisis. According to Alexander Privitera, while German officials were quick to shrug off the latest comments, Berlin may be more flexible in its options to help the euro than many believe.

“A Small but Fine Piece” – More Small than Fine

Prof. Dr. Andreas Freytag takes a look at the outcome of this week’s EU summit in Brussels. According to Prof. Dr. Freytag, while the agreement of a fiscal pact by 25 of the 27 EU member states was good news, European leaders once again failed to address several key issues of the crisis.

Merkel’s Summit

Rarely has one of the recent European crisis summits had as little impact on the public mood as the one just concluded in Brussels on Monday of this week. Reactions …

Ten Years of WTO Doha Negotiations: New Impetus Required

In this report, Oliver Wieck proposes a new impetus to overcome the ongoing deadlock in the WTO Doha negotiations. German industry has a huge interest in a strong multilateral trading system with bilateral free trade agreements offering additional market opening. The recent initiative between the EU and the USA to intensify the economic ties could not only boost genuine transatlantic market opening but should also set a clear signal to the new economic powers like China, Brasil and India to join the “Club of Free Traders”.

Splendid Isolation

In his analysis entitled Splendid Isolation, Alexander Privitera explains how Germany is becoming increasingly isolated from the rest of Europe in the fight to fix the euro. With recent bond auctions in Italy and Spain providing some optimism for the euro zone, Germany may be quick to herald the success of German-style austerity in Europe. However, according to Mr. Privitera, the plan to save the euro is actually becoming less German.

Downgrades and Default

In his essay Downgrades and Default, Alexander Privitera explains that while last week’s European downgrades may not have roiled markets, they have some European leaders fuming. Though some European politicians have begun pointing fingers across the Atlantic for the recent rating cuts, according to Mr. Privitera, the problem lies within Europe itself. Until an effective plan for dealing with Greece is put forth, the euro zone crisis will continue.

Is Germany Losing its Allies?

Following a recent statement by Dutch central banker Klaas Knot, argues Alexander Privitera, it appears that Angela Merkel is beginning to lose her ally in the Netherlands when it comes to fighting Europe’s debt problems. According to Mr. Privitera, Germany’s seemingly slow approach to the Euro crisis could place them on the outside of future negotiations.