AGI

Geoeconomics

The AGI Geoeconomics Program promotes original thinking and debate on U.S., German, and EU global economic strategy with a focus on ways that trade, climate, financial, and technology policies can advance their shared interests, prosperity, and values.
Reset

Lots of Talk, Little Action? Chances and Impediments for a New EU-U.S. Trade Agenda

Issue Brief 41 The annual meeting of the Transatlantic Economic Council (TEC) in November 2011 presented an opportunity for German and American policymakers  to make progress on their efforts at …

Euro in Limbo

Germany is (one) key to the future of the Euro. Germany is a country endowed with a Chancellor who is capable and willing to lead. It is, however, also a …

Markets and Merkel: fear and hope

What has the latest round of market turbulence told us about the Euro crisis?

First, that nobody in the Eurozone is safe from contagion.

Second, the politicians are finally realizing that things can get much worse much faster than they ever thought possible.

And finally, that Angela Merkel may yet achieve her goal of closer European integration – with the help of the financial markets.
Chancellor Merkel has long been distrustful of the markets − and the feeling is mutual. Both have blamed the other for an ever-deepening crisis across Europe. More recently, though, both sides might have woken up to the fact that becoming allies would not be that outlandish.

How Geography Explains Economics For Germany and the U.S

Dr. Tim Stuchtey quoted in “How Geography Explains Economics For Germany and the U.S.,” by Derek Thompson, The Atlantic, June 9, 2011.

Transatlantic Trade and Globalization

In this week’s AICGS Podcast, Dr. Jackson Janes talks with Klaus Deutsch (Deutsche Bank Research), Oliver Wieck (Bundesverband der Deutschen Industrie e.V.), and Alexander Privitera (Washington-based Special Correspondent for German news channel N24) about the challenges facing transatlantic trade relations in an increasingly fragile global economic environment.

What the EU Did Next – A Compilation

While the recent general outlook on the future of the European Union has been filled with excessive doom and gloom, it is largely misplaced, writes Non-Resident Fellow Almut Möller in a collection titled “What the EU Did Next.” There is still hope for the EU, but significant work needs to be done; turning the EU from a liability into a solution will be a difficult task yet one that needs to be tackled. This volume of essays from the German Council on Foreign Relations (DGAP) focuses on the EU’s undervalued strengths and how these strengths can be used to revitalize parts of the EU agenda in an effort to refocus the EU for success in the future.

The Trojan Horse

In his essay entitled The Trojan Horse, Alexander Privitera, Washington based Special Correspondent for the German news channel N24 and frequent AICGS contributor, examines how the approach to fixing the European debt crisis has changed. The recent political developments in Greece, along with a growing concern over Italy, have led European leaders to realize they may now have to save the euro from member nations, not save member nations for the euro.

Why Germany is Leading From Behind

With so much resting on the euro for Germany, why does Chancellor Merkel continue to avoid taking full control of the reigns in Europe? In his essay Why Germany is Leading From Behind, which originally appeared in the Wall Street Journal on November 4, 2011, Josef Joffe, Editor of Die Zeit and AICGS trustee, argues that Germany has a lot to lose in the current euro zone crisis. While the markets most often look to Angela Merkel for answers, it seems that a case of history is holding her back from truly leading her European counterparts.

Europe’s New Message: My Way or the Drachma Highway

Greece’s call for a referendum on the bail-out has been rescinded. The next tranche of funds for Greece from the IMF appears to be safe. According to his essay Europe’s New Message: My Way or the Drachma Highway, Dr. Jacob Funk Kirkegaard, Research Fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics and frequent AICGS contributor, argues this was the goal behind Greek Prime Minster George Papandreou’s call for a referendum. However, his potentially term ending move may have had another, more lasting effect: the threat of kicking member states out of the monetary union is now officially on the table.

Merkel’s European Message

The results of the Brussels summit this week underline one basic somewhat contradictory fact: If the euro were to collapse, it would be because Germany was not leading the effort to save it. At the same time, if Germany does lead that effort, it will include all the criticism that goes with leadership. This is the same kind of challenge the United States has had to face for decades. If you are the only leader available, you are damned if you do and damned if you don’t. Ask anyone in the White House what that is like.

The Final Rescue – or Another Three Months Survived!

In his essay entitled The Final Rescue – or Another Three Months Survived!, Prof. Dr. Andreas Freytag, Professor of Economics at the Friedrich-Schiller-Universität Jena and contributor to AICGS publications and events, examines the plan put forth by Europe’s leaders following the October 26th summit in Brussels. According to Prof. Dr. Freytag, while the plan may be a start to solving the euro crisis, not enough attention was paid to the problems at the core of the whole situation.

Saving the Euro

In his essay Saving the Euro, Alexander Privitera, Washington based Special Correspondent for the German news channel N24 and frequent AICGS contributor, explains how the recent plan announced by Europe’s leaders has signaled a major shift in their view of the crisis. By recognizing some of the major issues facing Europe, EU leaders have finally shown that they are actually willing to save the euro zone.