Polling and the 2021 Bundestag Election: What Is the Data Telling Us?

In this AGI webinar, Dr. Yvonne Schroth, Dr. Peter Matuschek, and Prof. Dr. Thorsten Faas discuss the volatility of recent public opinion polling and what factors influence voter preference.

As the campaign for the next Bundestag enters the last hectic weeks, political scientists and pollsters are intensively scrutinizing public opinion data in the hopes of forecasting what we can expect on the evening of September 26th. What are the most salient polling trends thus far? How are the various chancellor candidates assessed? What issues and cleavages seem important? Given some issues with the accuracy of polls in the last few years, what measures are pollsters taking to ensure accuracy this time?

Dr. Yvonne Schroth, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
Dr. Peter Matuschek, FORSA
Prof. Dr. Thorsten Faas, Otto Suhr Institute of Political Science, Freie Universität Berlin

Moderator: Dr. Eric Langenbacher, Senior Fellow; Director, Society, Culture & Politics Program, AGI

September 1, 2021


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