AGI

Geoeconomics

The AGI Geoeconomics Program promotes original thinking and debate on U.S., German, and EU global economic strategy with a focus on ways that trade, climate, financial, and technology policies can advance their shared interests, prosperity, and values.
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A Role for Business in Post-Conflict Societies

Which actors contribute to the stabilization of post-conflict societies—and how—is a question of utmost importance. Scholars and practitioners alike have argued that economic interdependencies and economic well-being is a beneficial …

Populist Political Wave in the UK and in the U.S.: On Brexit and Trump’s Economic Policy

2016 As a Special Year for the UK and the U.S. The UK experienced a rather surprising victory by the supporters of Brexit—i.e., those in favor of the UK leaving …

The Sustainability of Transatlantic Growth

In the current climate of rising populism—or what Mark Blyth calls “global Trumpism”—the United States and Germany remain key engines of the global economy. While Germany has long been admired …

International Financial Regulatory Politics after the Crisis: Toward a New Progressive Era

The Global Financial Crisis of 2007-09 ended a two-decade period of steady economic growth and stable inflation in the world’s advanced markets, the so-called “Great Moderation.”[1] Since the mid-1980s, this …

Can the Transatlantic Relationship Survive the Populist Storm?

I feel lucky that my career has taken place during a dynamic period in the relationship between the U.S. and Europe.  I started college as the Reagan presidency was ending, …

U.S. Elections: Impact on the European Economy

Uncertainty Prevails Ten days after Donald Trump was elected president, the impact on the global and the European economy is still hard to predict. What prevails is uncertainty about Trump’s …

Is China’s ‘One Road’ an Autobahn? Implications of the Changing German-Chinese Relationship

China in Germany and Europe On October 24, German economics minister Sigmar Gabriel blocked the bid of the Chinese company Fujian Grand Chip to purchase the German silicon chipmaker Aixtron.  …

The Presidential Campaign and The Future of U.S. Trade Policy: Implications for Transatlantic Relations

The 2016 presidential contest in the United States has been characterized by a particularly heated debate about the role that trade policy should play in promoting US prosperity and national …

What a Trump Win Would Mean for the European Economy

On November 8, 2016, Americans will decide whether Donald Trump or Hillary Clinton will be the president of Europe’s most important trade and investment partner. In 2015, 20 percent of …

Inequality Defines the American Election

The U.S. election is less than a month away. With so much focus on the large gap between the rich and the poor in this year’s race, a slightly altered …

Transatlantic Politics: When Uncertainty Becomes the New Normal

Distinguishing between risk and uncertainty—two concepts dating back to economist Frank Knight (1921)—has become popular in financial policy analyses in the aftermath of the global financial crisis of 2007-09. Risk …

Pipe Dream? The Nord Stream 2 pipeline project is in danger of being derail

The proposed Nord Stream 2 pipeline project has bitterly pitted European states that back the project, including Germany, the Netherlands, Austria, and France, against project opponents, including Ukraine, Poland, and …